{"id":3403,"date":"2025-04-14T10:42:45","date_gmt":"2025-04-14T08:42:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/?p=3403"},"modified":"2025-04-14T10:42:48","modified_gmt":"2025-04-14T08:42:48","slug":"guinee-bissau-2025-crise-institutionnelle-et-echec-de-la-mediation-vers-des-elections-sous-haute-tension","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/?p=3403","title":{"rendered":"Guin\u00e9e-Bissau 2025 \u2013 Crise institutionnelle et \u00e9chec de la m\u00e9diation : vers des \u00e9lections sous haute tension"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>La Guin\u00e9e-Bissau traverse une crise politique aigu\u00eb alors que le pr\u00e9sident Umaro Sissoco Embalo, dont le mandat a expir\u00e9 le&nbsp;<strong>27 f\u00e9vrier 2025<\/strong>, refuse de quitter le pouvoir. Fixant unilat\u00e9ralement les \u00e9lections au&nbsp;<strong>30 novembre 2025<\/strong>, il a plong\u00e9 le pays dans une impasse institutionnelle, exacerb\u00e9e par l\u2019\u00e9chec de la m\u00e9diation de la CEDEAO.<\/p><p><strong>Un mandat pr\u00e9sidentiel ill\u00e9gitime ?<\/strong><\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Litige sur la date d\u2019expiration<\/strong>\u00a0: La Cour supr\u00eame, accus\u00e9e de partialit\u00e9, a prolong\u00e9 le mandat d\u2019Embalo jusqu\u2019en septembre 2025, tandis que l\u2019opposition estime qu\u2019il a pris fin en f\u00e9vrier. Cette ambigu\u00eft\u00e9 juridique nourrit des accusations de \u00ab coup d\u2019\u00c9tat constitutionnel \u00bb.<\/li><\/ul><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Expulsion des m\u00e9diateurs de la CEDEAO<\/strong>\u00a0: Le 1\u1d49\u02b3 mars 2025, Embalo a menac\u00e9 d\u2019expulser les envoy\u00e9s r\u00e9gionaux apr\u00e8s qu\u2019ils ont pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 une feuille de route \u00e9lectorale jug\u00e9e d\u00e9favorable. Cette d\u00e9cision a pr\u00e9cipit\u00e9 le d\u00e9part de la mission et r\u00e9v\u00e9l\u00e9 l\u2019isolement diplomatique du pays.<\/li><\/ul><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Dissolution du Parlement<\/strong>\u00a0: En d\u00e9cembre 2023, Embalo a dissous l\u2019Assembl\u00e9e nationale domin\u00e9e par l\u2019opposition, consolidant son contr\u00f4le sur les institutions et attisant les tensions<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aib.media\/regions\/2025\/03\/02\/guinee-bissau-la-cedeao-sommee-de-quitter-le-pays-apres-une-tentative-de-mediation\/\">8<\/a>.<\/li><\/ul><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"504\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Image7-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3405\" style=\"width:780px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Image7-2.jpg 504w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Image7-2-300x214.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 504px) 100vw, 504px\" \/><\/figure><p><strong>Feuille de route \u00e9lectorale : un consensus introuvable<\/strong><\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>\u00c9lections coupl\u00e9es report\u00e9es<\/strong>\u00a0: Initialement pr\u00e9vues pour novembre 2024, les l\u00e9gislatives et pr\u00e9sidentielles ont \u00e9t\u00e9 repouss\u00e9es \u00e0 fin 2025, sans consultation de l\u2019opposition. Embalo invoque des \u00ab obstacles techniques \u00bb, mais ses d\u00e9tracteurs y voient une man\u0153uvre pour rester au pouvoir.<\/li><\/ul><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Appel \u00e0 la paralysie nationale<\/strong>\u00a0: La coalition\u00a0<strong>Pai Terra Ranka<\/strong>, dirig\u00e9e par Domingos Sim\u00f5es Pereira, a organis\u00e9 des gr\u00e8ves et des manifestations le 27 f\u00e9vrier 2025, r\u00e9prim\u00e9es par les forces de s\u00e9curit\u00e9. L\u2019opposition exige des \u00e9lections avant septembre et le d\u00e9part imm\u00e9diat d\u2019Embalo.<\/li><\/ul><p><strong>Enjeux r\u00e9gionaux et risques d\u2019instabilit\u00e9<\/strong><\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent dangereux pour la CEDEAO<\/strong>\u00a0: L\u2019\u00e9chec de la m\u00e9diation en Guin\u00e9e-Bissau affaiblit la cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 de l\u2019organisation ouest-africaine, d\u00e9j\u00e0 critiqu\u00e9e pour son incapacit\u00e9 \u00e0 g\u00e9rer les transitions au Mali et au Niger<a href=\"https:\/\/lettredesmediations.fr\/2025\/03\/05\/guinee-bissau-lechec-de-la-mediation-de-la-cedeao-un-avenir-electoral-incertain-maliactu-net\/\">4<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.aib.media\/regions\/2025\/03\/02\/guinee-bissau-la-cedeao-sommee-de-quitter-le-pays-apres-une-tentative-de-mediation\/\">8<\/a>.<\/li><\/ul><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Menace de contagion autoritaire<\/strong>\u00a0: Un succ\u00e8s \u00e9lectoral d\u2019Embalo, per\u00e7u comme ill\u00e9gitime, pourrait inciter d\u2019autres dirigeants de la r\u00e9gion \u00e0 manipuler les processus d\u00e9mocratiques<a href=\"https:\/\/www.aib.media\/regions\/2025\/03\/02\/guinee-bissau-la-cedeao-sommee-de-quitter-le-pays-apres-une-tentative-de-mediation\/\">8<\/a>.<\/li><\/ul><p><\/p><div class=\"gsp_post_data\" data-post_type=\"post\" data-cat=\"actualites\" data-modified=\"120\" data-title=\"Guin\u00e9e-Bissau 2025 \u2013 Crise institutionnelle et \u00e9chec de la m\u00e9diation : vers des \u00e9lections sous haute tension\" data-home=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La Guin\u00e9e-Bissau traverse une crise politique aigu\u00eb alors que le pr\u00e9sident Umaro Sissoco Embalo, dont le mandat a expir\u00e9 le&nbsp;27 f\u00e9vrier 2025, refuse de quitter le pouvoir. Fixant unilat\u00e9ralement les&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3404,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3403","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/480359701_1174221447401687_5074446710423773721_n.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3403","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3403"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3403\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3406,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3403\/revisions\/3406"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3404"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3403"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3403"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3403"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}