{"id":3382,"date":"2025-04-14T10:06:57","date_gmt":"2025-04-14T08:06:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/?p=3382"},"modified":"2025-04-14T10:06:57","modified_gmt":"2025-04-14T08:06:57","slug":"guinee-bissau-guinee-divergences-regionales-sur-les-transitions-politiques","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/?p=3382","title":{"rendered":"Guin\u00e9e-Bissau-Guin\u00e9e : divergences r\u00e9gionales sur les transitions politiques"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Alors que la Guin\u00e9e s\u2019enfonce dans une transition prolong\u00e9e, la Guin\u00e9e-Bissau fait face \u00e0 ses propres d\u00e9fis \u00e9lectoraux, r\u00e9v\u00e9lant les limites de la diplomatie ouest-africaine. La mission de la CEDEAO en Guin\u00e9e-Bissau, d\u00e9ploy\u00e9e en f\u00e9vrier 2025 pour faciliter un consensus sur les \u00e9lections de 2025, a \u00e9t\u00e9 expuls\u00e9e apr\u00e8s des menaces du pr\u00e9sident Umaro Sissoco Embalo, illustrant les tensions entre les acteurs locaux et les m\u00e9diateurs r\u00e9gionaux<a href=\"https:\/\/lefaso.net\/spip.php?article136455\">2<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/afrique.le360.ma\/politique\/guinee-bissau-la-cedeao-a-prepare-un-projet-daccord-sur-une-date-des-elections_V5HDSAD5VJCIJFCEACCONWTHUM\/\">8<\/a>.<\/p><p><strong>Guin\u00e9e-Bissau : un projet d\u2019accord \u00e9lectoral sous tension<\/strong><\/p><p>La CEDEAO a propos\u00e9 une feuille de route pour des \u00e9lections l\u00e9gislatives et pr\u00e9sidentielles en 2025, mais son approche est critiqu\u00e9e :<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Menaces d\u2019expulsion<\/strong>\u00a0: Le pr\u00e9sident Embalo a forc\u00e9 le d\u00e9part pr\u00e9cipit\u00e9 des m\u00e9diateurs, refusant toute ing\u00e9rence per\u00e7ue comme une atteinte \u00e0 sa souverainet\u00e9<a href=\"https:\/\/lefaso.net\/spip.php?article136455\">2<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/afrique.le360.ma\/politique\/guinee-bissau-la-cedeao-a-prepare-un-projet-daccord-sur-une-date-des-elections_V5HDSAD5VJCIJFCEACCONWTHUM\/\">8<\/a>.<\/li><\/ul><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Fragmentation politique<\/strong>\u00a0: Les partis d\u2019opposition rejettent le projet de la CEDEAO, jug\u00e9 favorable au pouvoir en place. La soci\u00e9t\u00e9 civile d\u00e9nonce un manque de transparence dans la r\u00e9vision du fichier \u00e9lectoral<a href=\"https:\/\/lefaso.net\/spip.php?article136455\">2<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/afrique.le360.ma\/politique\/guinee-bissau-la-cedeao-a-prepare-un-projet-daccord-sur-une-date-des-elections_V5HDSAD5VJCIJFCEACCONWTHUM\/\">8<\/a>.<\/li><\/ul><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Instabilit\u00e9 chronique<\/strong>\u00a0: Le pays, habitu\u00e9 aux coups d\u2019\u00c9tat et aux crises institutionnelles, peine \u00e0 stabiliser son processus d\u00e9mocratique. Les \u00e9lections de 2025 risquent d\u2019exacerber les clivages ethniques et militaires<a href=\"https:\/\/lefaso.net\/spip.php?article136455\">2<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/afrique.le360.ma\/politique\/guinee-bissau-la-cedeao-a-prepare-un-projet-daccord-sur-une-date-des-elections_V5HDSAD5VJCIJFCEACCONWTHUM\/\">8<\/a>.<\/li><\/ul><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/123229121_reuters_bissua_976.png.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3384\" style=\"width:780px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/123229121_reuters_bissua_976.png.webp 640w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/123229121_reuters_bissua_976.png-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/123229121_reuters_bissua_976.png-585x329.webp 585w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/123229121_reuters_bissua_976.png-600x338.webp 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/figure><p><strong>Implications pour la Guin\u00e9e : un pr\u00e9c\u00e9dent inqui\u00e9tant<\/strong><\/p><p>L\u2019\u00e9chec de la m\u00e9diation en Guin\u00e9e-Bissau affaiblit la cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 de la CEDEAO dans la gestion de la transition guin\u00e9enne :<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Legs des coups d\u2019\u00c9tat<\/strong>\u00a0: Les succ\u00e8s \u00e9lectoraux des juntes au Mali, au Burkina Faso et au Niger incitent la Guin\u00e9e \u00e0 r\u00e9sister aux pressions r\u00e9gionales<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rfi.fr\/fr\/podcasts\/revue-de-presse-afrique\/20241231-%C3%A0-la-une-la-prolongation-de-la-transition-en-guin%C3%A9e\">7<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/afrique.le360.ma\/politique\/guinee-bissau-la-cedeao-a-prepare-un-projet-daccord-sur-une-date-des-elections_V5HDSAD5VJCIJFCEACCONWTHUM\/\">8<\/a>.<\/li><\/ul><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Double standard<\/strong>\u00a0: La CEDEAO est accus\u00e9e de laxisme envers Conakry, alors qu\u2019elle impose des sanctions plus fermes \u00e0 d\u2019autres \u00c9tats en crise. Cette incoh\u00e9rence nourrit le cynisme des acteurs politiques locaux<a href=\"https:\/\/www.guinee360.com\/01\/02\/2025\/elections-en-2025-le-g5-echange-avec-bah-oury-sur-le-processus-electoral\/\">4<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/afrique.le360.ma\/politique\/guinee-bissau-la-cedeao-a-prepare-un-projet-daccord-sur-une-date-des-elections_V5HDSAD5VJCIJFCEACCONWTHUM\/\">8<\/a>.<\/li><\/ul><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Risque de contagion<\/strong>\u00a0: Une transition prolong\u00e9e en Guin\u00e9e pourrait inspirer d\u2019autres dirigeants \u00e0 manipuler les processus \u00e9lectoraux pour conserver le pouvoir<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rfi.fr\/fr\/podcasts\/revue-de-presse-afrique\/20241231-%C3%A0-la-une-la-prolongation-de-la-transition-en-guin%C3%A9e\">7<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/afrique.le360.ma\/politique\/guinee-bissau-la-cedeao-a-prepare-un-projet-daccord-sur-une-date-des-elections_V5HDSAD5VJCIJFCEACCONWTHUM\/\">8<\/a>.<\/li><\/ul><p><\/p><div class=\"gsp_post_data\" data-post_type=\"post\" data-cat=\"politique\" data-modified=\"120\" data-title=\"Guin\u00e9e-Bissau-Guin\u00e9e : divergences r\u00e9gionales sur les transitions politiques\" data-home=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Alors que la Guin\u00e9e s\u2019enfonce dans une transition prolong\u00e9e, la Guin\u00e9e-Bissau fait face \u00e0 ses propres d\u00e9fis \u00e9lectoraux, r\u00e9v\u00e9lant les limites de la diplomatie ouest-africaine. La mission de la CEDEAO&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3383,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[599,600,596,598],"class_list":["post-3382","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politique","tag-cedeao-transition-guinee-bissau","tag-fichier-electoral-guinee","tag-opposition-ufdg-boycott","tag-referendum-constitutionnel-guinee-2025"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/109584953_gettyimages-1129557042.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3382","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3382"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3382\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3385,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3382\/revisions\/3385"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3383"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3382"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3382"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3382"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}