{"id":3373,"date":"2025-04-14T09:54:54","date_gmt":"2025-04-14T07:54:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/?p=3373"},"modified":"2025-04-14T09:54:57","modified_gmt":"2025-04-14T07:54:57","slug":"guinee-la-feuille-de-route-electorale-de-la-junte-sous-pression-internationale","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/?p=3373","title":{"rendered":"Guin\u00e9e : la feuille de route \u00e9lectorale de la junte sous pression internationale"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>La Guin\u00e9e s\u2019engage dans une course contre la montre pour organiser un r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum constitutionnel le&nbsp;<strong>21 septembre 2025<\/strong>, suivi d\u2019\u00e9lections pr\u00e9sidentielle et l\u00e9gislatives avant la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e. Cette feuille de route, annonc\u00e9e par le Premier ministre Amadou Oury Bah en mars 2025<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lemonde.fr\/afrique\/article\/2025\/03\/06\/guinee-le-premier-ministre-promet-un-referendum-et-des-elections-presidentielle-et-legislative-en-2025_6576739_3212.html\">1<\/a>, vise \u00e0 l\u00e9gitimer le r\u00e9gime du g\u00e9n\u00e9ral Mamadi Doumbouya apr\u00e8s plusieurs reports. Cependant, les d\u00e9fis techniques, les divisions politiques et les pressions internationales menacent la cr\u00e9dibilit\u00e9 du processus.<\/p><p><strong>Calendrier \u00e9lectoral : un \u00e9quilibre instable<\/strong><\/p><p>Le gouvernement guin\u00e9en a officiellement fix\u00e9 le r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum constitutionnel au\u00a0<strong>21 septembre 2025<\/strong>, suivi des \u00e9lections g\u00e9n\u00e9rales. Ce calendrier r\u00e9pond partiellement aux exigences de la CEDEAO, qui avait initialement fix\u00e9 la fin de la transition \u00e0 d\u00e9cembre 2024<a href=\"https:\/\/information.tv5monde.com\/afrique\/guinee-vers-une-transition-bientot-hors-delai-2753046\">4<\/a>.\u00a0Toutefois, les retards accumul\u00e9s \u2013 notamment l\u2019absence de fichier \u00e9lectoral consensuel et la dissolution des institutions charg\u00e9es des \u00e9lections \u2013 complexifient la t\u00e2che<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lemonde.fr\/afrique\/article\/2025\/03\/06\/guinee-le-premier-ministre-promet-un-referendum-et-des-elections-presidentielle-et-legislative-en-2025_6576739_3212.html\">1<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/afrique\/articles\/ce8y4z8rj4no\">5<\/a>.<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>R\u00e9f\u00e9rendum constitutionnel<\/strong>\u00a0: Le projet de Constitution, pr\u00e9sent\u00e9 en juillet 2024, vise \u00e0 remplacer celle suspendue apr\u00e8s le coup d\u2019\u00c9tat de 2021. Le texte, per\u00e7u comme un outil pour consolider le pouvoir de la junte, suscite des craintes de d\u00e9rive autoritaire<a href=\"https:\/\/fr.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/R%C3%A9f%C3%A9rendum_constitutionnel_guin%C3%A9en_de_2025\">3<\/a>.<\/li><\/ul><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>\u00c9lections coupl\u00e9es<\/strong>\u00a0: La junte pr\u00e9voit d\u2019organiser les pr\u00e9sidentielles et l\u00e9gislatives en fin d\u2019ann\u00e9e 2025, une d\u00e9cision critiqu\u00e9e pour son manque de r\u00e9alisme. Le Premier ministre a reconnu que les pluies diluviennes entre juillet et septembre pourraient perturber le scrutin<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/afrique\/articles\/ce8y4z8rj4no\">5<\/a>.<\/li><\/ul><p><strong>Enjeux techniques et blocages politiques<\/strong><\/p><p>La transition guin\u00e9enne se heurte \u00e0 des obstacles majeurs :<\/p><ol start=\"1\" class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Fichier \u00e9lectoral<\/strong>\u00a0: Les listes \u00e9lectorales, jug\u00e9es obsol\u00e8tes et manipul\u00e9es lors des pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents scrutins, n\u00e9cessitent une r\u00e9vision compl\u00e8te. Le gouvernement a convoqu\u00e9 un comit\u00e9 de pilotage incluant des parties prenantes, mais l\u2019opposition boycotte ces consultations<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lemonde.fr\/afrique\/article\/2025\/03\/06\/guinee-le-premier-ministre-promet-un-referendum-et-des-elections-presidentielle-et-legislative-en-2025_6576739_3212.html\">1<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/guineenews.org\/2025\/04\/11\/transition-en-guinee-la-cedeao-et-le-gouvernement-guineen-saccordent-sur-un-nouveau-schema-electoral\/\">6<\/a>.<\/li><\/ol><ol start=\"2\" class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Absence d\u2019organe \u00e9lectoral ind\u00e9pendant<\/strong>\u00a0: Depuis la dissolution de la Commission \u00e9lectorale nationale ind\u00e9pendante (CENI) en 2021, la Guin\u00e9e ne dispose pas d\u2019institution cr\u00e9dible pour superviser les \u00e9lections. Le r\u00e9tablissement de la CENI est r\u00e9clam\u00e9 par l\u2019opposition, mais la junte privil\u00e9gie une gestion centralis\u00e9e via le minist\u00e8re de l\u2019Administration territoriale<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rfi.fr\/fr\/afrique\/20250411-guin%C3%A9e-les-scrutins-de-fin-de-transition-ne-seront-pas-orgais%C3%A9s-par-la-commission-%C3%A9lectorale-ind%C3%A9pendante\">8<\/a>.<\/li><\/ol><ol start=\"3\" class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Financement<\/strong>\u00a0: La CEDEAO a propos\u00e9 une table ronde pour mobiliser des fonds, mais les besoins techniques et logistiques restent sous-\u00e9valu\u00e9s. Le Premier ministre Bah Oury a insist\u00e9 sur le \u00ab soutien panafricain \u00bb n\u00e9cessaire pour garantir des \u00e9lections cr\u00e9dibles<a href=\"https:\/\/guineenews.org\/2025\/04\/11\/transition-en-guinee-la-cedeao-et-le-gouvernement-guineen-saccordent-sur-un-nouveau-schema-electoral\/\">6<\/a>.<\/li><\/ol><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" src=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Guinea_AFP-CELLOU-BINANI-cc-1024x683.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3376\" srcset=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Guinea_AFP-CELLOU-BINANI-cc-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Guinea_AFP-CELLOU-BINANI-cc-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Guinea_AFP-CELLOU-BINANI-cc-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Guinea_AFP-CELLOU-BINANI-cc-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Guinea_AFP-CELLOU-BINANI-cc-1170x780.jpg 1170w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Guinea_AFP-CELLOU-BINANI-cc-585x390.jpg 585w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Guinea_AFP-CELLOU-BINANI-cc-263x175.jpg 263w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Guinea_AFP-CELLOU-BINANI-cc-1320x880.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Guinea_AFP-CELLOU-BINANI-cc-600x400.jpg 600w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Guinea_AFP-CELLOU-BINANI-cc.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure><p><strong>Pression internationale : entre condamnations et realpolitik<\/strong><\/p><p>La communaut\u00e9 internationale, divis\u00e9e, adopte une position ambigu\u00eb :<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>\u00c9tats-Unis<\/strong>\u00a0: Le D\u00e9partement d\u2019\u00c9tat a exprim\u00e9 son inqui\u00e9tude face au non-respect de l\u2019\u00e9ch\u00e9ance initiale de janvier 2025 pour le lancement de la transition<a href=\"https:\/\/2021-2025.state.gov\/translations\/french\/la-transition-democratique-de-la-guinee\/\">7<\/a>.<\/li><\/ul><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>CEDEAO<\/strong>\u00a0: L\u2019organisation ouest-africaine a prolong\u00e9 son accompagnement technique mais \u00e9vite de sanctionner la junte, privil\u00e9giant un \u00ab dialogue inclusif \u00bb<a href=\"https:\/\/guineenews.org\/2025\/04\/11\/transition-en-guinee-la-cedeao-et-le-gouvernement-guineen-saccordent-sur-un-nouveau-schema-electoral\/\">6<\/a>.<\/li><\/ul><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Union europ\u00e9enne<\/strong>\u00a0: Aucune sanction \u00e9conomique n\u2019a \u00e9t\u00e9 annonc\u00e9e, malgr\u00e9 les appels des ONG \u00e0 geler les avoirs de responsables de la junte.<\/li><\/ul><p><strong>L\u2019opposition guin\u00e9enne : entre boycott et fragmentation<\/strong><\/p><p>L\u2019Union des Forces D\u00e9mocratiques de Guin\u00e9e (UFDG), principale formation d\u2019opposition, maintient son refus de participer \u00e0 un \u00ab processus truqu\u00e9 \u00bb. Cellou Dalein Diallo, en exil au S\u00e9n\u00e9gal, r\u00e9clame des garanties d\u2019impartialit\u00e9 et la lib\u00e9ration des militants emprisonn\u00e9s<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/afrique\/articles\/ce8y4z8rj4no\">5<\/a>.&nbsp;Cependant, des divisions internes affaiblissent sa position :<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Aile r\u00e9formatrice<\/strong>\u00a0: Men\u00e9e par Ousmane Gaoual Diallo, elle pr\u00f4ne un dialogue tactique avec la junte pour \u00e9viter l\u2019exclusion.<\/li><\/ul><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Aile dure<\/strong>\u00a0: Refuse toute concession, exigeant le r\u00e9tablissement int\u00e9gral de l\u2019ordre constitutionnel ant\u00e9rieur \u00e0 2021.<\/li><\/ul><p>Parall\u00e8lement, la Coalition des Forces Vives de la Nation (FVG) r\u00e9clame un organe \u00e9lectoral ind\u00e9pendant et la tenue d\u2019\u00e9lections municipales avant les scrutins nationaux<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/afrique\/articles\/ce8y4z8rj4no\">5<\/a><\/p><div class=\"gsp_post_data\" data-post_type=\"post\" data-cat=\"politique-afrique\" data-modified=\"120\" data-title=\"Guin\u00e9e : la feuille de route \u00e9lectorale de la junte sous pression internationale\" data-home=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La Guin\u00e9e s\u2019engage dans une course contre la montre pour organiser un r\u00e9f\u00e9rendum constitutionnel le&nbsp;21 septembre 2025, suivi d\u2019\u00e9lections pr\u00e9sidentielle et l\u00e9gislatives avant la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e. Cette feuille de&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3374,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[263],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3373","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politique-afrique"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Namibia_AFP-HILDEGARD-TITUS-cc.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3373","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3373"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3373\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3377,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3373\/revisions\/3377"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3374"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3373"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3373"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3373"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}