{"id":2765,"date":"2025-04-09T19:21:08","date_gmt":"2025-04-09T17:21:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/?p=2765"},"modified":"2025-04-09T19:21:11","modified_gmt":"2025-04-09T17:21:11","slug":"cameroun-2025-la-bataille-electorale-entre-continuite-et-transition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/?p=2765","title":{"rendered":"Cameroun 2025 \u2013 La bataille \u00e9lectorale entre continuit\u00e9 et transition"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Introduction<\/strong><br>\u00c0 l\u2019approche de la pr\u00e9sidentielle d\u2019octobre 2025, le Cameroun s\u2019enfonce dans une crise politique aux multiples facettes. Alors que Paul Biya, 92 ans, pourrait briguer un huiti\u00e8me mandat malgr\u00e9 son absence prolong\u00e9e des radars, l\u2019opposition tente de s\u2019unir face \u00e0 un RDPC omnipr\u00e9sent. Entre reports l\u00e9gislatifs, tensions s\u00e9curitaires et incertitudes sur la succession, le scrutin s\u2019annonce comme un tournant \u00e0 haut risque.<\/p><p><strong>Paul Biya : Un candidat fant\u00f4me ?<\/strong><br>Absent des \u00e9crans depuis septembre 2024, le pr\u00e9sident camerounais alimente les rumeurs sur son \u00e9tat de sant\u00e9. Son dernier d\u00e9placement officiel remonte \u00e0 mars 2024, et les apparitions pr\u00e9enregistr\u00e9es ne suffisent plus \u00e0 rassurer. Pourtant, le&nbsp;<strong>RDPC mise sur sa candidature<\/strong>&nbsp;pour maintenir le statu quo, s\u2019appuyant sur :<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Un amendement constitutionnel de 2008<\/strong>\u00a0supprimant la limite des mandats.<\/li>\n\n<li><strong>Le contr\u00f4le des institutions<\/strong>\u00a0(CENI, justice, m\u00e9dias).<\/li>\n\n<li><strong>Un report des l\u00e9gislatives<\/strong>\u00a0\u00e0 2026, adopt\u00e9 en juillet 2024 pour \u00e9viter une concurrence \u00e9lectorale en 2025<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/afrique\/articles\/c7271zx85y1o\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">7<\/a>.<\/li><\/ul><p>Malgr\u00e9 son \u00e2ge avanc\u00e9, Biya reste une figure incontournable.&nbsp;<em>\u00ab Personne n\u2019ose annoncer sa mort politique tant qu\u2019il respire \u00bb<\/em>, analyse un diplomate europ\u00e9en sous anonymat.<\/p><p><strong>L\u2019opposition : Une mosa\u00efque de leaders sans strat\u00e9gie commune<\/strong><br>Face au RDPC, les principaux candidats potentiels peinent \u00e0 f\u00e9d\u00e9rer :<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Maurice Kamto (MRC)<\/strong>\u00a0: Emprisonn\u00e9 apr\u00e8s les \u00e9lections de 2018, il mise sur un boycott si les conditions ne sont pas transparentes.<\/li><\/ul><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"686\" height=\"386\" src=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/hq720.jpg\" data-rel=\"penci-gallery-image-content\"  alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2767\" style=\"width:780px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/hq720.jpg 686w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/hq720-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/hq720-585x329.jpg 585w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/hq720-600x338.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 686px) 100vw, 686px\" \/><\/figure><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Cabral Libii (PCRN)<\/strong>\u00a0: Pr\u00f4ne une\u00a0<strong>transition de trois ans<\/strong>\u00a0pour r\u00e9former les institutions, mais son parti manque d\u2019ancrage local.<\/li><\/ul><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Lopposant-camerounais-Cabral-Libii-president-du-PCRN-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2768\" srcset=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Lopposant-camerounais-Cabral-Libii-president-du-PCRN-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Lopposant-camerounais-Cabral-Libii-president-du-PCRN-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Lopposant-camerounais-Cabral-Libii-president-du-PCRN-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Lopposant-camerounais-Cabral-Libii-president-du-PCRN-1170x658.jpg 1170w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Lopposant-camerounais-Cabral-Libii-president-du-PCRN-585x329.jpg 585w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Lopposant-camerounais-Cabral-Libii-president-du-PCRN-600x338.jpg 600w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/Lopposant-camerounais-Cabral-Libii-president-du-PCRN.jpg 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Joshua Osih (SDF)<\/strong>\u00a0: Tentative de relancer le parti historique, affaibli par des divisions internes.<\/li><\/ul><figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/3e1fea46-6a2d-4774-93ab-ede22e09f884_cx0_cy12_cw67_w1080_h608_s-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-2769\" srcset=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/3e1fea46-6a2d-4774-93ab-ede22e09f884_cx0_cy12_cw67_w1080_h608_s-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/3e1fea46-6a2d-4774-93ab-ede22e09f884_cx0_cy12_cw67_w1080_h608_s-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/3e1fea46-6a2d-4774-93ab-ede22e09f884_cx0_cy12_cw67_w1080_h608_s-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/3e1fea46-6a2d-4774-93ab-ede22e09f884_cx0_cy12_cw67_w1080_h608_s-585x329.jpg 585w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/3e1fea46-6a2d-4774-93ab-ede22e09f884_cx0_cy12_cw67_w1080_h608_s-600x338.jpg 600w, https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/3e1fea46-6a2d-4774-93ab-ede22e09f884_cx0_cy12_cw67_w1080_h608_s.jpg 1080w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure><p>L\u2019<strong>Alliance pour une Transition Politique (ATP)<\/strong>, lanc\u00e9e par Olivier Bil\u00e9, tente d\u2019unir les forces anti-Biya. Mais ses primaires, marqu\u00e9es par des accusations de fraude, r\u00e9v\u00e8lent des fractures persistantes.<\/p><p><strong>Enjeux s\u00e9curitaires : Un terreau explosif<\/strong><br>Le scrutin se d\u00e9roulera dans un contexte de crises multiples :<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Conflit anglophone<\/strong>\u00a0: Plus de 6 000 morts depuis 2017 et 700 000 d\u00e9plac\u00e9s dans les r\u00e9gions du Nord-Ouest et du Sud-Ouest.<\/li>\n\n<li><strong>Menace de Boko Haram<\/strong>\u00a0: Attaques r\u00e9currentes dans l\u2019Extr\u00eame-Nord.<\/li>\n\n<li><strong>Crise \u00e9conomique<\/strong>\u00a0: Inflation \u00e0 8,5 % en 2024 et ch\u00f4mage des jeunes \u00e0 35 %.<\/li><\/ul><p>Ces d\u00e9fis renforcent les appels \u00e0 une alternance, mais le RDPC instrumentalise l\u2019instabilit\u00e9 pour justifier la continuit\u00e9.<\/p><p><strong>Succession de Biya : La guerre des clans en coulisses<\/strong><br>En l\u2019absence d\u2019h\u00e9ritier d\u00e9sign\u00e9, deux factions se disputent l\u2019apr\u00e8s-Biya :<\/p><ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Le clan Nanga-Eboko<\/strong>\u00a0: Men\u00e9 par Ferdinand Ngoh Ngoh (secr\u00e9taire g\u00e9n\u00e9ral de la pr\u00e9sidence) et soutenu par Chantal Biya.<\/li>\n\n<li><strong>Le clan Mvondo Ayolo<\/strong>\u00a0: Autour de Samuel Mvondo Ayolo (directeur de cabinet) et Oswald Baboke.<\/li><\/ul><p><em>\u00ab Biya est pris en otage par des factions qui gouvernent en son nom \u00bb<\/em>, d\u00e9nonce Pascal Messanga Nyamdig, politologue<a href=\"https:\/\/www.koaci.com\/article\/2024\/06\/05\/cameroun\/politique\/cameroun-succession-de-biya-la-guerre-des-clans-gagne-progressivement-du-terrain_178472.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">3<\/a>.&nbsp;Cette lutte paralyse l\u2019\u00c9tat, illustr\u00e9e par le conflit entre le Minsep et la Fecafoot autour des Lions Indomptables<a href=\"https:\/\/www.koaci.com\/article\/2024\/06\/05\/cameroun\/politique\/cameroun-succession-de-biya-la-guerre-des-clans-gagne-progressivement-du-terrain_178472.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">3<\/a>.<\/p><p><strong>Sc\u00e9narios pour 2025<\/strong><\/p><ol start=\"1\" class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Biya candidat<\/strong>\u00a0: Le RDPC l\u2019emporte face \u00e0 une opposition divis\u00e9e, malgr\u00e9 des fraudes massives.<\/li>\n\n<li><strong>Transition improvis\u00e9e<\/strong>\u00a0: En cas de d\u00e9c\u00e8s ou retrait de Biya, le clan Nanga-Eboko impose un successeur (Ferdinand Ngoh Ngoh ?).<\/li>\n\n<li><strong>Explosion sociale<\/strong>\u00a0: Une victoire contest\u00e9e du RDPC d\u00e9clenche des manifestations r\u00e9prim\u00e9es, comme en 2018.<\/li><\/ol><p><strong>Conclusion : Un pays \u00e0 la crois\u00e9e des chemins<\/strong><br>Le Cameroun incarne le paradoxe des r\u00e9gimes autoritaires vieillissants en Afrique. Si la pr\u00e9sidentielle de 2025 pourrait renforcer le statu quo, l\u2019usure du pouvoir, les crises socio-\u00e9conomiques et les ambitions des clans rendent l\u2019\u00e9quation impr\u00e9visible. Comme le r\u00e9sume Cabral Libii :&nbsp;<em>\u00ab Sans transition, le Cameroun risquera l\u2019implosion \u00bb<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/actucameroun.com\/2025\/03\/26\/transition-politique-au-cameroun-cabral-libii-explique-le-bien-fonde\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">5<\/a>.<\/p><div class=\"gsp_post_data\" data-post_type=\"post\" data-cat=\"politique\" data-modified=\"120\" data-title=\"Cameroun 2025 \u2013 La bataille \u00e9lectorale entre continuit\u00e9 et transition\" data-home=\"https:\/\/africanova.info\"><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction\u00c0 l\u2019approche de la pr\u00e9sidentielle d\u2019octobre 2025, le Cameroun s\u2019enfonce dans une crise politique aux multiples facettes. Alors que Paul Biya, 92 ans, pourrait briguer un huiti\u00e8me mandat malgr\u00e9 son&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2766,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2765","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politique"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/31e7fa20-3e10-11ef-b74c-bb483a802c97.jpg.webp","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2765","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2765"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2765\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2770,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2765\/revisions\/2770"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2766"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2765"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2765"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/africanova.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2765"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}